2024 Lok Sabha Election Results LIVE: Samajwadi Party Leads INDIA Bloc's Charge in UP, Keeps BJP at Bay

New Delhi: In a dramatic turn of events, the Samajwadi Party is leading the charge of the opposition INDIA block's sterling performance in Uttar Pradesh during the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. This is the most crucial state, for it sends 80 MPs to the Lok Sabha—the highest in any state in India. At 6 pm, the SP was ahead in 37 seats and had won in Mainpuri represented by its leader Akhilesh Yadav's wife Dimple Yadav, taking their total count of seat win to 38. The best-ever performance by SP in a UP Lok Sabha election has beaten its previous record of 36 seats in 2004.

Akhilesh Yadav is also at the verge of triumphing from Kanauji, a family stronghold, wherein he leads by using 1.7 lakh votes over BJP's Subrat Pathak. Meanwhile, the Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP) is beforehand in 29 seats, with its best friend, the Apna Dal (Sonala), leading in a single. The BJP has already secured three seats, along with Prime Minister Narendra Modi's seat in Varanasi and Karan Bhushan Singh’s win in Kaiser Ganj.

 Historical Context and Recent Performance

In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP dominated UP, securing 62 out of 80 seats, whilst its best friend Apna Dal (Sonala) brought extra. The Samajwadi Party managed simplest 5 seats, a repeat of its performance in 2014, down from 23 inside the 2009 elections.

Congress Gains in Strongholds

The Congress birthday celebration is also displaying massive profits, leading in 5 seats, which includes the ancient strongholds of Amethi and Raebareli. Kishori Lal and Rahul Gandhi are leading towards BJP's Smriti Irani and BSP's Thakur Prasad, respectively. A win in Amethi, wherein Congress is leading by means of over 1.6 lakh votes, might be a giant increase, reclaiming a seat as soon as held by former Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi. Rahul Gandhi is poised to win in Raebareli with a lead of three.9 lakh votes over BJP's Dinesh Pratap Singh, surpassing his mom Sonia Gandhi's previous triumphing margin. SP's Strong Performance and Strategic Gains The Samajwadi Party's great performance indicators a primary shift in UP politics. If the current tendencies keep, SP could have performed what neither the Congress nor the BSP could within the closing two country wide and country elections—defeating the BJP in UP. This achievement did no longer come out of nowhere; it builds at the momentum from the 2022 Assembly elections, where the SP extensively improved its tally, triumphing 111 seats compared to the BJP's 255. The Role of Farmers' Protests A giant issue contributing to the SP's resurgence has been the farmers' protests in opposition to the BJP's rules. These protests galvanized guide for the SP, developing a groundswell that looks to have carried over into the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. Exit Polls and Predictions The UP outcomes have defied the predictions of most exit polls. A poll of go out polls had advised the BJP might maintain its dominance in UP, with estimates starting from 68 seats for the BJP and NDA companions to as little as six seats for the competition INDIA bloc. However, TV5 Telugu changed into an outlier, predicting a slim majority for the opposition with 43 seats.

Seat-Sharing in the INDIA Bloc

The Samajwadi Party is contesting as part of the Congress-led INDIA competition bloc, which changed into shaped in June final year to task Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the BJP. The SP fielded 63 applicants, whilst the Congress contested 17 seats. This seat-sharing settlement turned into a substantial development, marking the first such deal among INDIA bloc members and highlighting the bloc's strategic unity.

National Trends and Projections

Nationally, the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is projected by way of numerous go out polls to steady a substantial majority. India Today-Axis My India and India TV-CNX expect the NDA may want to win as many as 401 seats. News24-Today's Chanakya projects a similar outcome, with the NDA probably landing four hundred seats. Other go out polls, consisting of ABP News-C Voter, Jan Ki Baat, and News Nation, forecast barely lower but nevertheless extensive numbers, starting from 378 to 392 seats.

The INDIA Bloc's Optimism

Despite the exit poll predictions, leaders of the INDIA bloc, such as Congress President Mallikarjun Kharge and Rahul Gandhi, have expressed self assurance in their capability to win 295 seats. Although exit ballot statistics does no longer entirely support this optimism, a few polls provide the bloc over a hundred and fifty seats, indicating a huge presence within the Lok Sabha.

Detailed Exit Poll Data

According to TV9 Bharat Varsh-Pollstar, Times Now-ETG, and Republic TV-P Marq, the INDIA bloc is expected to win among 152 and 166 seats. News Nation and ABP News-C Voter suggest the bloc may want to steady among 152 and 182 seats. However, India News-D Dynamics and News 24-Today's Chanakya are less constructive, predicting only a hundred twenty five and 107 seats, respectively.